Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.831241 10.398349 12.125622 14.165559 16.503540 19.093822 22.175193
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.426758 8.431096 10.851284 13.968024 17.852322 22.508825 28.486048
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.065292 7.289157 10.189582 14.202345 19.555075 26.387436 35.695403
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.053915 6.336512 9.523312 14.215398 20.848159 29.772607 42.545146
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.323694 5.600121 8.978841 14.235188 22.051150 33.055422 49.478751
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.645838 4.793515 8.173392 13.712114 22.345224 35.017768 54.666749
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.230468 4.315826 7.774884 13.710790 23.352791 38.027312 61.538417
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.895740 3.905701 7.409644 13.687172 24.280384 40.944820 68.450208
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.744708 3.794456 7.523029 14.451019 26.521615 46.039558 79.055524
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.591680 3.649019 7.548463 15.051328 28.526231 50.886748 89.590674
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.469514 3.541214 7.622448 15.734416 30.717105 56.177226 101.179394
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.281828 3.260747 7.324781 15.687719 31.599074 59.321284 109.407635
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.054573 2.853862 6.727352 15.014637 31.311103 60.498423 114.515671
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.876277 2.521397 6.230909 14.473675 31.206469 61.976514 120.240078
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.775855 2.356095 6.066057 14.583706 32.351719 65.766489 130.272709
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.679057 2.178600 5.845690 14.545198 33.190543 69.040914 139.576599
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.598009 2.024842 5.655442 14.544899 34.097743 72.494370 149.411740
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.499311 1.796957 5.249154 14.003908 33.818940 73.640262 154.992547
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.441053 1.674407 5.084919 13.999462 34.675114 77.049671 165.065939
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.389416 1.559476 4.921404 13.974181 35.477437 80.396521 175.206854
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.375091 1.563654 5.077875 14.751634 38.137502 87.677205 193.473173
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.355042 1.543743 5.164766 15.362747 40.466725 94.414885 211.015759
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.338956 1.534262 5.279854 16.058211 43.045749 101.824732 230.294091